TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:57 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for October 31 at 11:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for October 31 at 11:00 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. If many individuals believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will bid up the price of that outcome on Polymarket, potentially creating a difference in implied probability. It's a useful exercise to compare the two to see where the crowd disagrees with the professionals.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, while increased selling pressure drives it down. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential, based solely on the collective judgment of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Motherwell vs. St Mirren match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. Keep an eye on the market leading up to the resolution date, as the price may fluctuate based on any late-breaking news or developments related to the teams or the match itself.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Motherwell or St Mirren would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the manager or ownership of either club could also be catalysts. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the price of shares on Polymarket.