TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Motherwell FC and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Heart of Midlothian FC" if Heart of Midlothian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Motherwell FC and Heart of Midlothian FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Heart of Midlothian FC" if Heart of Midlothian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by factors like house bias and public betting patterns. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, this market allows participants to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new developments emerge leading up to the match. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the 'crowd' believes the true probability lies for the first goalscorer in this contest.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective assessment of which team will score first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand; increased buying pressure on a team’s share will drive its price up, indicating a higher perceived chance of success.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Motherwell or Heart of Midlothian, scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely available and trusted sources of information regarding the game’s events, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Motherwell or Hearts would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements, or even pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s strong attacking form, could also lead to notable movements in the price of shares within this market.