TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:00 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional offers or public betting patterns. This market, driven by informed traders, can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches between the two types of venues. It's worth comparing the odds to see where the perceived value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency relies on the collective wisdom of the crowd and the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, aiming to profit from correctly assessed probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Celtic vs. Motherwell match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Celtic or Motherwell would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even news regarding weather conditions or referee assignments could play a role, albeit a smaller one. Any significant development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move the market as traders react to the new information.