TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 4:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between Morris College Hornets and South Carolina State Bulldogs on November 2nd. The markets resolve to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled and no makeup game is scheduled, and remaining open if the game is postponed.
This event is for the CBB game between Morris College Hornets and South Carolina State Bulldogs on November 2 at 12:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
This event is for the CBB game between Morris College Hornets and South Carolina State Bulldogs on November 2 at 12:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from balanced action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. However, both sources are influenced by public information and expert analysis, so they often converge as the event approaches. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket currently has a different user base than Predict, leading to potentially different interpretations of available information. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and price discovery on each platform can contribute to discrepancies. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market, even when tracking the same underlying event. Both platforms offer valuable insights, but it’s important to recognize that they represent distinct perspectives.