TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:21h:07m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Morocco and Niger in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Morocco will win, Niger will win, or the game will end in a draw, with specific rules around abandonment and resolution timing.
In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Morocco and Niger, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Morocco vs Niger AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Morocco or Niger occurs if that respective team wins the match in regulation time. If the match concludes in a tie during regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform policy. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, setting odds based on implied probabilities and a margin for themselves. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s pricing reflects what participants believe is the true probability of each result. While sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns, this market is driven by informed speculation and the potential for financial gain from correct predictions.
Prices for the Morocco vs. Niger match may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume can also differ significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might currently favor one outcome while Kalshi leans toward another, reflecting differing opinions among their respective traders. These differences are normal and contribute to a more robust overall market signal.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Morocco vs. Niger match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing sporting body. This market will settle based on which team wins the match, or if the match ends in a draw. The resolution will be based on publicly available and independently verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions affecting the match could shift probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or significant shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks might also cause movement. Traders should closely monitor these factors to assess potential changes in the likelihood of different outcomes for the Morocco vs. Niger match.