TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between Morocco and Mali. The result is determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Morocco wins, Mali wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Morocco vs Mali professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Morocco wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Morocco' market resolves to Yes. If Mali wins under the same conditions, the 'Mali' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time plus stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injuries – and as the event draws closer, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with, or diverge from, those found at traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and reflects the most up-to-date expectations regarding the Morocco vs Mali match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Morocco vs Mali match as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable rules governing the event. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Morocco or Mali would likely cause a shift in the odds. Major tactical changes announced by either team’s coach could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to movement in this market. Public sentiment and large-volume trades on Kalshi will also play a role in shaping the price leading up to Oct 4, 2026.