TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which Morgan St. or Tennessee St. must win for the bet to pay out. The markets provide a granular view of potential score differentials, enabling detailed analysis of expected performance.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Morgan St. vs Tennessee St. college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If Morgan St. wins, markets resolve to Yes only if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 31.5 points). If Tennessee St. wins, markets resolve to Yes only if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 16.5 points). Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time are resolved using the final result of the rescheduled game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market traders have information or perspectives not fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying levels of information and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Morgan St. vs Tennessee St. spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Morgan St. vs Tennessee St. game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if Tennessee St. covers the spread, or 0 if Morgan St. covers the spread. All trading will cease once the outcome is known and officially reported, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Morgan St. or Tennessee St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths could drive trading activity and alter the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are also potential catalysts for price movement.