TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are placed on whether a team will win by a specific goal differential.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, with resolution based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct markets exist: one for Moreirense winning by more than 2.5 goals, another for Moreirense winning by more than 1.5 goals, a third for Estrela Amadora winning by more than 1.5 goals, and a fourth for Estrela Amadora winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbooks, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it becomes available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in team performance during recent matches, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analyst predictions or media coverage, could also impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts.