TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Liga Portugal between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will resolve based on whether Moreirense wins, Estrela Amadora wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the named team wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed set of participants. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora match in the Portuguese Liga Portugal. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will officially close and payouts will be processed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Moreirense or Estrela Amadora could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in the playing field could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, may also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.