TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Moreirense FC and Sporting CP scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the three possible outcomes: a Moreirense win, a Sporting CP win, or a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation-to-YES clause that Kalshi does not address. This creates asymmetric payoff risk if the game is canceled without a make-up date.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga Portugal's official schedule for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw holders will profit while Kalshi holders face ambiguous resolution. Consider hedging across platforms or clarifying Kalshi's cancellation policy directly.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Moreirense win, Sporting CP win, draw). All three share identical postponement logic (remain open until played) but diverge on cancellation: Moreirense and Sporting CP markets resolve NO if canceled; draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Sporting CP win, Moreirense win) that resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice would likely resolve all three to NO or remain unresolved if game is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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