TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Moreirense FC and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Moreirense FC and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, prediction market odds can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of trading in this venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Moreirense or Gil Vicente will score first. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Moreirense or Gil Vicente – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. The platform relies on publicly available information to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Moreirense or Gil Vicente would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could play a role. Overall team performance in recent matches and any pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to movements in this market.