TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Moreirense FC and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Estrela da Amadora" if CF Estrela da Amadora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Moreirense FC and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Estrela da Amadora" if CF Estrela da Amadora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Moreirense or Estrela will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the first goalscorer in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Moreirense or Estrela, scores the first goal in the match. If no goal is scored during regulation time, the market will resolve based on any goals scored during extra time. The result will be determined by official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially declared.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Moreirense or Estrela would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also influence trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might be considered by traders. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a strong start for one team over the other could also contribute to movement in this market.