TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Moreirense FC vs. CD Nacional
Volume:
$52,574
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Moreirense FC and CD Nacional scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Moreirense win, draw, and Nacional win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, same postponement and cancellation rules, and consistent primary source (official Liga Portugal statistics with credible reporting fallback).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga Portugal statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sourcesCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Moreirense FC win market resolves Yes if Moreirense wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise; resolves Yes if match is canceled with no makeup
- CD Nacional win market resolves Yes if Nacional wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Moreirense win and Nacional win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
- Official Statistics Delay: If Liga Portugal does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope of Play: Resolution is based only on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 7, 2026, with official Liga Portugal statistics as the primary source within 2 hours of match endOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.