TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Morehead State and Dayton, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Morehead State" if Morehead State win the game. This market will resolve to "Dayton" if Dayton win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Morehead State and Dayton, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Morehead State" if Morehead State win the game. This market will resolve to "Dayton" if Dayton win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team's chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of bettors participating in this market. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional polls in accuracy.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular result, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a constantly updated assessment of the game's potential results. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting where prices are set in advance.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Morehead State vs. Dayton game – which team wins – will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final result and claim their winnings once the resolution is complete, based on the shares they hold in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Morehead State or Dayton teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment – as reflected in social media – could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or any controversies surrounding the game could also lead to volatility. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information.