TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two college football teams in a scheduled game. Each market evaluates whether one team achieves a specific point differential victory over the other, offering varied thresholds for comparison.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Morehead St. vs Dayton college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If Dayton wins by exceeding the specified point threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Morehead St. wins, all Dayton-win markets resolve to No, and the Morehead St.-win market resolves to Yes only if their victory exceeds its threshold. For any game postponement, if play commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the inability to determine an outcome from the scheduled contest.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information or perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. This market, like others, can show differences as traders incorporate their own analysis and react to news. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than traditional sportsbooks to incorporate new information, potentially offering an edge to informed traders. Comparing this market to publicly available sportsbook lines can reveal interesting insights into differing perceptions of the game's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event's outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the Morehead St vs Dayton game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Morehead St vs Dayton game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. The final spread will determine which contracts payout and at what value, based on the contract's terms. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Morehead St or Dayton teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also shift the odds. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, as can large trading volume from informed participants. Any significant developments impacting the perceived competitiveness of the teams could lead to changes in the price of contracts in this market.