TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football contest between Morehead State and Dayton. The result depends on which team wins the game scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis from a wider range of sources than sportsbooks. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Morehead St. vs Dayton game. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to analyze supply and demand and make informed decisions. The goal is to converge on a price that accurately represents the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Morehead St. vs Dayton game, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all move the odds. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or time could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before resolution.