TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:48 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Serie A match between Monza (MON) and Napoli (NAP), scheduled for 2026-10-28 19:45 UTC. - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - NAP: If Napoli wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MON and NAP options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
This market refers to the Serie A match between Monza (MON) and Napoli (NAP), scheduled for 2026-10-28 19:45 UTC. - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - NAP: If Napoli wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MON and NAP options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by participants. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices fluctuate, converging towards a consensus probability. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in its likelihood. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monza vs Napoli match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Monza win, a Napoli win, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled match. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be rewarded based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. The outcome is determined by the official match result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Monza or Napoli would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any major upsets in other relevant soccer matches might indirectly influence how traders assess the probabilities in this market, as perceptions of team strength and momentum evolve.