TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Napoli will win its Serie A soccer match against Monza. Currently, Kalshi gives Napoli a 99.0% probability of winning, with Monza at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Monza vs Napoli professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 28, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Monza vs Napoli Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the Monza market if Monza wins, for the Napoli market if Napoli wins, and for the Tie market if the game ends level. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. No extra time or penalty shootout results count toward resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with Lega Serie A or the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If there’s a significant disparity, it could indicate that PredictionHero users possess information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. It’s common to see differences, especially before a substantial amount of volume accumulates in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Monza vs Napoli match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monza vs Napoli match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or broader football news might also affect trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any updates from reliable sources will likely drive increased volume and price movements in this market.