TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Monza and Cagliari both score a goal in the Monza vs Cagliari Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, represents a collective forecast. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that prediction market participants possess information or insights not fully captured by sportsbooks, or simply have differing risk preferences. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Monza vs Cagliari match. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the market's expectation for the outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Monza and Cagliari score at least one goal during the match. Official match data, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The result will be binary – either both teams score (Yes) or at least one team fails to score (No). Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monza or Cagliari would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's attacking or defensive weaknesses could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the likelihood of both teams scoring is crucial for informed trading.