TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:32 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Serie A match between Monza (MON) and Cagliari (CAG), scheduled for 2026-10-19 16:30 UTC. - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - CAG: If Cagliari wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MON and CAG options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
This market refers to the Serie A match between Monza (MON) and Cagliari (CAG), scheduled for 2026-10-19 16:30 UTC. - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - CAG: If Cagliari wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MON and CAG options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are frequently set based on factors beyond pure prediction, such as house edge and marketing strategies. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, with this market potentially assigning a higher or lower chance to a particular outcome than sportsbooks. These discrepancies can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences across different venues. Examining these differences can offer insights into market perceptions and potential value.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the participants. As more traders bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform's mechanism ensures that prices adjust dynamically to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. Currently, the most favored outcome, according to traders, is Cagliari wins, though the volume remains low.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monza vs Cagliari match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand potential catalysts that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Monza or Cagliari would likely impact the odds. Any unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or managerial decisions could also influence predictions. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the style of play and the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on market movements.