TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Montserrat and Turks & Caicos as part of the CONCACAF Nations League. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity. It provides insight into anticipated scoring patterns without influencing the game's actual result.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals exceed a specific half-goal increment—from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—counted after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with CONCACAF and that all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the final goal tally within regular time, with each threshold offering a progressively stricter condition for a 'Yes' outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will fall, making it more attractive to bet on. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos match will be used to determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regulation time, or any added extra time, will be counted. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Montserrat or Turks & Caicos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical changes could also cause fluctuations. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and move the market.