TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer match between Montserrat and Turks & Caicos in the CONCACAF Nations League. The focus is on the margin of victory for either team within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves specific goal differentials.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, with resolution based solely on regular time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome scenarios are considered: Montserrat winning by more than 2.5 goals, Montserrat winning by more than 1.5 goals, Turks & Caicos winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Turks & Caicos winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario functions as an independent market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required goal differential victory. All markets are unaffiliated with CONCACAF, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as injuries or changes in team composition, potentially offering a more dynamic and up-to-date assessment of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out based on the final spread, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Volume and order flow are key indicators to watch.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Montserrat vs Turks & Caicos match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the match are also a potential catalyst, especially if they favor one team over the other. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, can influence trading activity and cause the odds to move. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.