TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Montserrat vs. Turks and Caicos Islands
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Montserrat vs. Turks and Caicos Islands?

Volume:
$417,033

Montserrat

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 5:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montserrat

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122,189
N/A
N/A
$70,303
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montserrat

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Turks and Caicos Islands

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148,463
N/A
N/A
$120,195
Settled
No
polymarket

Turks and Caicos Islands

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,648
N/A
N/A
$79,338
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Montserrat vs. Turks and Caicos Islands)

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Montserrat and Turks and Caicos Islands, part of the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the consensus probability of Montserrat winning on October 6, 2026 is 100.0%, with Turks and Caicos Islands winning at 0.2%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on the Concacaf Nations League schedule as the October 6, 2026 match date approaches to confirm the game remains on the calendar.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's resolution depends on the game being played.Hero tip: Consider the probability of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome for cancellations, while Kalshi's outcome is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official stats, Flashscore, or Sofascore as secondary sources. Resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolution depends on the game being completed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Montserrat and Turks and Caicos Islands.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Montserrat secures a victory within regular time, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Turks and Caicos Islands achieves the win under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude with an equal scoreline after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The outcome is strictly based on the final score at the end of normal time, with no consideration given to results from extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a more accurate assessment than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and biases, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to price discovery driven by actual wagers. This can result in differences, especially in events where public perception diverges from expert analysis. However, both aim to predict the same outcome, and arbitrage opportunities can emerge when significant discrepancies exist between the two.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different types of traders, leading to variations in pricing. Polymarket may have a user base more informed about soccer, while Kalshi might be more focused on other sports. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence prices; lower volume can lead to greater price swings. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to these discrepancies. Therefore, it’s not unusual to see differing probabilities for the same event across Polymarket and Kalshi.