TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on the winner of the NHL contest between Montreal and Winnipeg on October 25, 2026. The market for the victorious team will conclude positively, whereas the defeated team's market will end negatively. Any delay occurring within 48 hours of the planned start time preserves the market's status, with resolution based on the actual outcome. Should the match be called off entirely, the markets adjust to a fair value.
The market resolves based on the official outcome of the Montreal vs Winnipeg NHL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Winnipeg wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Montreal wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring a balanced settlement for all participants under these conditions.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that traders assign to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Montreal vs Winnipeg game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or speculation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader shifts in public perception, could also play a role. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information is being factored into the price, causing it to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.