TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game exceeds various thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the final goal count, with consistent counting rules applied across all thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity for the same match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by Montreal and Washington Canadiens in their NHL game scheduled for October 14, 2026, with identical counting methodology applied uniformly. Goals from regulation time and overtime count normally, while a shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the combined total exceeds that exact threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the number of goals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular goal total is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a continuous double auction, allowing traders to set their own prices and execute trades immediately if a matching order exists.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Montreal vs Washington match will be used to determine the winning contracts. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any overtime periods, as defined by the official game rules. The final score will be sourced from official league data and verified against trusted sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montreal or Washington would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before resolution.