TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:20h:18m
$
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Montreal and Vancouver. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or not. The outcome depends solely on the combined goals scored by both teams within regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Montreal versus Vancouver professional MLS soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—shows how much volume is available to absorb new trades, influencing price stability. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Montreal vs Vancouver match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or any added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Montreal or Vancouver teams would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, potentially affecting playing style, might also play a role. Finally, any significant pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring affair could influence trading activity and move the market.