TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:01h:14m
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Montreal and Vancouver will compete in a soccer match where observers will note if each team manages to score. The emphasis is on goal-scoring by both sides within the regular playtime of the match.
If Montreal and Vancouver both score a goal in the Montreal vs Vancouver MLS match originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and attract betting action. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook offerings as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate unique insights not fully captured by traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of both Montreal and Vancouver finding the back of the net, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by taking either the 'yes' or 'no' side of the market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Montreal and Vancouver score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The final result will be determined by official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand the final settlement of this market and their contract positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montreal or Vancouver would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis highlighting tactical approaches that emphasize attacking play or defensive vulnerabilities could move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or even public statements from team coaches could also contribute to price fluctuations.