TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams in an upcoming NHL game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the combined score exceeds that threshold. The outcomes reflect the excitement and scoring potential of the match.
These markets evaluate whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Montreal vs St. Louis NHL game scheduled for October 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: goals from regulation time and overtime count normally, while a shootout awards one goal to the winning team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution for each market depends solely on whether the actual total goals meet or exceed its individual threshold.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Montreal vs St. Louis game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current top market on Kalshi is for Over 6.5 goals scored, though the probabilities are constantly evolving with trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Montreal vs St. Louis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual total goals scored. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Montreal or St. Louis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or goalie changes could affect trader sentiment. Finally, as the game day approaches, increased trading volume driven by broader public attention will likely lead to price fluctuations.