TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to gauge the potential offensive output of the match. Outcomes are determined by the official game result, including goals from regulation and overtime periods.
The markets evaluate whether the combined goals scored by Montreal and Pittsburgh in their NHL game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals. All goals scored during regulation time and overtime count toward the total, while a shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the actual total goals exceed that threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information from individuals actively trading on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Montreal vs Pittsburgh game. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total goals will be over a certain number, and sell 'yes' contracts if they believe it will be under. The price of a 'yes' contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates dynamically as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's trades, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Montreal vs Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether the total goals scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold defined by the market. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if the total goals exceed the threshold, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if it falls short. The outcome is determined by objective game data, not subjective interpretation.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Montreal or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or goalie changes could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, could contribute to volatility in this market.