TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between Montreal and Nashville. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Montreal vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the goal count. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed the threshold (e.g., 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring levels. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, designed to ensure profit, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as the 'wisdom of the crowd' on Kalshi may weigh factors differently than a sportsbook's modeling. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing whether the total goals scored in the Montreal vs Nashville game will be over or under a specific number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. As more traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the perceived probability of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Montreal vs Nashville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in regulation time and any overtime periods will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Montreal or Nashville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in goaltender assignments, or even weather conditions that might affect the game's style, could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could lead to changes in the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market before Oct 24, 2026.