TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Montreal and Nashville in their upcoming MLS soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one side may dominate the other. Outcomes are determined purely by regular-time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively evaluate different victory margins in the Montreal versus Nashville MLS match scheduled for October 24, 2026. All outcomes are judged solely after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Montreal wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Nashville wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market’s threshold. Each market has a distinct goal-differential requirement, allowing participants to speculate on varying degrees of dominance by either team. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. Often, you’ll see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, such as injuries or changing team dynamics. While sportsbooks may initially have wider spreads, this market can sometimes offer more refined probabilities as the event approaches, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks haven’t fully adjusted.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and information, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities for the Montreal versus Nashville spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Montreal versus Nashville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NHL, and will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The market’s outcome is determined by the actual game result, not by any subjective judgment or external source.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Montreal or Nashville would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups or coaching strategies could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking news, could impact volume and pricing. Even significant weather conditions in either city, potentially affecting travel or game conditions, could be a catalyst for movement in this market.