TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match between two teams in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular play time, which includes the standard 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this specific timeframe.
If Montreal and Nashville both score a goal in the Montreal vs Nashville MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches, offering opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either venue. It is common to see the implied probabilities diverge as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Montreal vs Nashville match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their evolving expectations for the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Montreal and Nashville score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final result will then be reflected in the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montreal or Nashville would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could influence trading activity and the overall price of this market.