TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Montreal and Nashville. Participants can speculate on whether Montreal, Nashville, or neither team will secure a victory within the regulation time of the match. The resolution depends purely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Montreal vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Montreal market occurs if Montreal wins the match in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Nashville occurs if Nashville wins in regulation. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the series’ likely result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand for a particular outcome pushing its price up and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the series’ potential.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL playoff series, determining which team ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries on either the Montreal or Nashville team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance from a goaltender or a star player could also move the market. Game results within the series itself will be the most influential factor, with each win or loss dramatically altering the perceived probabilities. Major news events, such as coaching changes or significant team strategy adjustments, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.