TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Montreal vs Chicago: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Montreal vs Chicago?

Volume:
$72,851

Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 10:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,054
N/A
N/A
$28,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,356
N/A
N/A
$12,111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,308
N/A
N/A
$8,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,358
N/A
N/A
$2,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Montreal wins by over 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,422
N/A
N/A
$969
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
No
kalshi

Montreal wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets evaluate whether Chicago or Montreal wins the game by a margin exceeding specified goal differences. The outcome hinges solely on the goal differential between the two teams, considering only regulation and overtime goals.

Kalshi

These markets determine if Chicago wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Montreal wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the Montreal versus Chicago NHL game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Montreal vs Chicago spread tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume of $68,670, and a historical price chart. This allows users to see how confidence in the outcome has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded on Kalshi at $72,851. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their predictions about the final point differential in this matchup, and the dashboard visualizes that collective forecast. It’s a central hub for understanding the market’s activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market can react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events, as the market digests new data and adjusts its expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Montreal vs Chicago spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Montreal vs Chicago game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and any adjustments made due to unforeseen circumstances will be considered. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Montreal or Chicago teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major weather events potentially impacting game conditions could drive movement. The release of updated statistical analysis or expert predictions could also influence the market, as traders incorporate new information into their forecasts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities within this market.