TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Montreal and Atlanta in their upcoming MLS soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other. The outcomes are determined solely by regular-time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Montreal and Atlanta in their professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Montreal wins by more than 2.5 goals, Montreal wins by more than 1.5 goals, Atlanta wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Atlanta wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets are independent resolutions, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league. Trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing perspectives on the likely outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Montreal vs Atlanta spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate predictions may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and accurate assessment of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by official sources will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams at the end of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Montreal or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news or developments related to the teams or the game itself could also shift the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.