TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
For the MLS encounter between Montreal and Atlanta scheduled for October 14, 2026, participants will focus on whether both sides can put a goal on the board during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The market settles based on whether each team scores at least one goal in this portion of the game.
If Montreal and Atlanta both score a goal in the Montreal vs Atlanta MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources or varying interpretations of team form and potential game dynamics. Keep in mind that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Montreal vs Atlanta match, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Montreal and Atlanta teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final scoreline will be the deciding factor, and the market will settle based on that information. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montreal or Atlanta would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and scoring opportunities. Any major tactical changes announced by either team’s coach could also move the market as traders reassess the likelihood of goals.