TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates various point spreads in a CFL football game between Montreal Alouettes and Saskatchewan Roughriders. Outcomes are determined by the margin of victory for either team after the full game, including overtime if applicable.
Markets resolve based on the point differential in the Montreal Alouettes vs Saskatchewan Roughriders professional CFL football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Ten markets exist: Montreal winning by more than 20.5, 13.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, and Saskatchewan winning by more than 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 13.5, or 20.5 points. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Over time, this market’s odds can converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer, but discrepancies often remain, especially if there’s strong disagreement among traders. It’s common to see this market offer a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the game’s spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall in favor of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect collective intelligence about the upcoming game between the Alouettes and Roughriders.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Montreal Alouettes versus Saskatchewan Roughriders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the CFL, and will determine which traders correctly predicted the spread. The market will then pay out to those who held contracts on the winning side, based on the final price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Alouettes or Roughriders would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also influence trading activity, as weather conditions can affect scoring and game strategy. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.