TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Montevideo Wanderers vs. CA Progreso
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Montevideo Wanderers vs. CA Progreso?

Volume:
$34,529

Progreso

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Progreso

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,729
N/A
N/A
$9,520
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Progreso

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wanderers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,134
N/A
N/A
$12,966
Settled
No
polymarket

Montevideo Wanderers

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,296
N/A
N/A
$8,507
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Montevideo Wanderers vs. CA Progreso)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Montevideo Wanderers and CA Progreso in the Uruguay Primera Division, scheduled for October 25, 2026. Markets exist for Wanderers winning, Progreso winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on external consensus.Hero tip: Consider the risk of cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the markets may not resolve definitively if the game is called off. Polymarket offers more clarity in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being completed within the specified timeframe.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Montevideo Wanderers and CA Progreso.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Wanderers vs Progreso professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Wanderers wins, the 'Wanderers' market resolves to Yes. If Progreso wins, the 'Progreso' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Montevideo Wanderers vs. Progreso match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 44.5% chance of one outcome leading, although this can shift as new information and trading volume come in. Total volume across both platforms is $34,529, with $28,092 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment regarding the match’s result, aggregating predictions from diverse sources.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies; for example, a prediction market might give more weight to insider information or nuanced factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Therefore, comparing these odds can provide a more well-rounded assessment of the potential result of this market.