TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Montevideo City and Atletico Mineiro will be closely watched for its scoring dynamics. Bettors are interested in whether the combined efforts of both teams will lead to a high-scoring encounter or a more defensive battle.
This event covers multiple markets related to the total goals scored during the regulation time of the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for October 21, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties), exceeds a specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the specified goal threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, but this market shows more uncertainty, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for anyone looking to make informed predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in regulation time. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in regulation time in the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. It’s important to note that only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes of regulation time will be counted; any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montevideo City or Atletico Mineiro would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, could also cause volatility. As the match date approaches, any updates from team training sessions or pre-game press conferences will be closely watched by traders.