TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in an international tournament, where each team aims to score goals within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to find the back of the net during this standard playing period. This contest is part of a broader competition designed to determine the most successful team through a series of such encounters.
If Montevideo City and Atletico Mineiro both score a goal in the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro CONMEBOL Sudamericana match originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook offerings, it could indicate a potential trading opportunity, suggesting the market believes a different outcome is more likely than sportsbooks do. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in regulation time during the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro match. The price of a 'Yes' contract represents the probability of both teams scoring, while the price of a 'No' contract represents the probability of one or neither team scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own insights. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome determined by whether both Montevideo City and Atletico Mineiro score at least one goal during regulation time of the match. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the match statistics. The platform will then confirm whether the 'Yes' or 'No' contract will pay out, based on the official match result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout equal to 100 minus the price they paid for it.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montevideo City or Atletico Mineiro would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any public statements from coaches or players about their offensive strategies could move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also lead to price fluctuations, as traders adjust their expectations based on the starting eleven.