TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team, Montevideo City or Atletico Mineiro, will advance in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana semi-finals. Currently, Kalshi gives Atletico Mineiro To Advance a 99.0% probability, while Montevideo City To Advance is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on whether Montevideo City advances past Atletico Mineiro in the tie, as determined by the official CONMEBOL Sudamericana results. Keep an eye on the second leg of the semi-final tie, scheduled for 2026-10-22, as the outcome of that match will determine which team advances and resolve this market.
If Montevideo City advance past Atletico Mineiro in the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro soccer tie in the Semi-Finals of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atletico Mineiro advance past Montevideo City in the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro soccer tie in the Semi-Finals of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a different result is more likely than sportsbooks suggest. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Montevideo City vs Atletico Mineiro match. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.