TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Monterrey and Pachuca. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Monterrey vs Pachuca Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed the specified half-goal threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same governing conditions and disclaim any official affiliation with the Liga MX governing body. The resolution hinges solely on the final goal count from the match as it concludes in regular time.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from sportsbook projections. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Monterrey vs Pachuca match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market considers a fair representation of the likelihood of each scenario. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Monterrey vs Pachuca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterrey or Pachuca would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a shift in expected goals could drive changes in the market price, as traders react to the new information.