TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Monterrey and Pachuca, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match time. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event evaluates the goal differential in the Monterrey vs Pachuca Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Resolution occurs based on whether Monterrey or Pachuca achieves a qualifying win margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Monterrey wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Pachuca wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. The match must conclude within regular time for the markets to resolve; outcomes from extra time or penalties do not count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome of the Monterrey vs Pachuca match. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities might arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Monterrey vs Pachuca match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential outcome. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Monterrey vs Pachuca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league organizers. The platform will then determine the payout for winning contracts based on the final spread and the contract prices at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterrey or Pachuca would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding weather conditions, which might affect playing style, or even significant tactical announcements from either coach could all contribute to price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a particular spread will impact trading activity.