TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Monterrey will win its Liga MX soccer game against Pachuca. Currently, Kalshi gives Monterrey a 94.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 5.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Monterrey vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final result – and thus market resolution – will be determined following the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time on October 18, 2026.
If Monterrey wins the Monterrey vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Pachuca wins the Monterrey vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Monterrey vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injuries – and as the event approaches, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on how the crowd interprets the new data. It's a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Monterrey vs Pachuca match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust the perceived likelihood of each result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monterrey vs Pachuca match, as determined by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterrey or Pachuca would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding the availability of star players or significant shifts in public perception, reflected in analyst predictions, are all potential catalysts that could shift the odds on Kalshi before the Oct 19, 2026 resolution.