TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Monterrey and Guadalajara. Participants predict whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Monterrey vs Guadalajara Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties, must exceed the specified threshold. If the total goals equal or fall below the threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across resolutions. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi, reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Monterrey vs Guadalajara match. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. It's a real-time reflection of collective belief.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Monterrey vs Guadalajara match are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterrey or Guadalajara would likely impact the perceived goal-scoring potential and shift prices. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also cause movement. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, could impact the price of contracts on Kalshi.