TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Guadalajara will win its Liga MX soccer match against Monterrey. Currently, Kalshi gives Guadalajara a 73.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 22.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Monterrey vs Guadalajara professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to reflect the result of the game played on or around October 24, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 25, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Monterrey vs Guadalajara professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Monterrey or Guadalajara occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time. If the match concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined by the platform. The operator emphasizes it is not officially connected with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Monterrey vs Guadalajara match. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Monterrey vs Guadalajara match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The highest volume contracts typically indicate the most widely held beliefs among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Monterrey vs Guadalajara match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the final result, reflecting the accuracy of the market's predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterrey or Guadalajara would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or significant news related to team management could play a role in moving the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations and inform your trading strategy.