TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary across different markets, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the match result.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Monterey Bay FC or Las Vegas Lights wins the specified professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. The match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Monterey Bay FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Monterey Bay FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Las Vegas Lights winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Las Vegas Lights winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual result matches any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing league’s official result, recognized by the USL Championship, shall govern all resolutions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes for the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights match, and highlight where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate after this date. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, determining which contracts will pay out.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi could quickly shift the odds, especially if they indicate informed trading activity. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to movements in this market for the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights match.