TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights both find the back of the net during their USL Championship encounter, counting goals scored within the 90 minutes and any added stoppage time of regular play.
If Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights both score a goal in the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi differs from the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of individuals. Often, discrepancies emerge due to differing information or interpretations, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, driving the price towards what they believe is the true probability. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Monterey Bay FC or Las Vegas Lights would likely impact the perceived scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or field conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a shift in the expected outcome could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.