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$279,496,801

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2,984,640,614

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416,910

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Monterey Bay FC vs. Las Vegas Lights
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Monterey Bay FC vs. Las Vegas Lights?

Volume:
$84,881

Monterey Bay FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 12:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monterey Bay FC

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,255
N/A
N/A
$23,013
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Monterey Bay FC

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,875
N/A
N/A
$14,694
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Monterey Bay FC vs. Las Vegas Lights)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas Lights

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,426
N/A
N/A
$6,934
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights on October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Monterey Bay FC winning, Las Vegas Lights winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves all outcomes (win/draw) to 'Yes', while Polymarket has separate markets for each outcome (win/draw) resolving to 'Yes' or 'No'.Hero tip: Consider the implications of Kalshi's structure – a draw *and* a win both resolve positively, potentially impacting market pricing and liquidity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: If Monterey Bay FC wins, Las Vegas Lights wins, or the game ends in a tie, the market resolves to Yes. Key Quote: "If Monterey Bay FC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas Lights wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Each market (Monterey Bay FC win, Las Vegas Lights win, Draw) resolves to 'Yes' only if that specific outcome occurs. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Key Quote: "If Monterey Bay FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Monterey Bay FC and Las Vegas Lights.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Monterey Bay FC, a win for Las Vegas Lights, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory during the specified period, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the stated time parameters and does not consider post-regulation periods such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes. The current volume of $84,881 suggests considerable interest in this match.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels can create temporary discrepancies. For example, a large buy order on Polymarket might temporarily inflate prices there, while Kalshi might maintain a more stable price due to higher trading volume. These differences reflect the independent assessments of traders on each platform, and can shift as new information becomes available.