TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Monterey Bay FC and Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match must be the one originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time count — extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the calculation. If the cumulative goals surpass the threshold defined for each market (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying match and time constraints, ensuring consistency across different scoring thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders. While sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows for continuous price discovery as new information emerges and opinions shift. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets sometimes identifying mispriced outcomes that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for. However, both aim to predict the same real-world event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity can influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential updates.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterey Bay FC or Colorado Springs Sw. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also play a role. Additionally, team form, recent performance, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could all shift the market's sentiment. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also have an immediate impact.